Jing Xiaobo, deputy inspector of the Operation Bureau of the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, described the current situation of industrial economic development as "unprecedented complexity".Then, with the gradual disappearance of China's demographic dividend, the continuous downturn of the international economy and the third industrial Revolution, where will the development of China's equipment manufacturing industry go?
Around the above topics, the 2013 Equipment Industry Development Situation Analysis Conference and the press conference of 2013 Blue Book of Equipment Industry sponsored by The International Equipment Manufacturing Research Center of China Federation of Industry and Commerce was held in Beijing recently.The meeting discussed how China's equipment manufacturing industry could gain new life through transformation and upgrading in the economic downturn.
Lu Yansun, former vice minister of machinery industry, pointed out that At present, China cannot be called a manufacturing power.To realize the transformation from big to strong, we must adhere to the principles of innovation-driven development, structural optimization, quality first and green development.Strive to achieve a number of competitive enterprises to take the lead in making breakthroughs and become one of the powerful countries by 2020.By 2030, China's manufacturing industry as a whole will be in the forefront of the world, and some industries will be in a leading position in the world.
Grim
At the meeting, Jing described the current economic situation as "unprecedentedly complex".'The traditional way of thinking about this situation is difficult to find a satisfactory explanation,' he said.The difficulties we have encountered are formidable, and the problems we have encountered are intractable. Traditional means of solving these difficulties and problems are difficult to resolve effectively.
According to statistics from the National Bureau of Statistics, from January to May this year, China's industrial economy has been running steadily on the whole, but production growth has slowed down and most industries have experienced sluggish growth.Among them, the industrial added value above a certain scale increased by 9.4% year on year, 9.9% in January-February, 8.9% in March, 9.3% in April and 9.2% in May, showing an overall trend of decline.
Looking ahead to the development situation of the equipment industry in 2013, internationally, developed countries have put forward the strategy of "reindustrialization", emerging economies have accelerated the development of industries with comparative advantages, and the competition for countries in the world to seize the commanding heights of the international division of labor has become more intense.At the same time, with global trade protectionism prevalent, China's export situation is still difficult to fundamentally improve in 2013, and the growth model relying on external demand has become increasingly difficult to sustain over the years.
Domestically, economic driving factors are not enough to resolve the problem of overcapacity.Strengthening management is difficult to resolve the contradiction of rising production costs;Preferential policies for transformation and upgrading cannot resolve the contradiction of insufficient innovation capacity;Energy conservation and emission reduction measures are difficult to resolve the contradiction between high prices of energy and resources.
Moreover, in the economic downturn at the same time, we should be alert to the pressure of business differentiation.In recent years, China's economy has been seriously divided. First, there is a division between industries. The economic benefits of manufacturing industry are not good, which makes enterprises unwilling to engage in the real economy.Second, the industry upstream and downstream differentiation, iron ore, copper concentrate, crude oil production profits far more than the downstream.In this regard, Jing Xiaobo predicted that there may be new divisions this year.
Three big questions
According to Jing Xiaobo, there are three possible problems in the industrial economic operation this year:
First, insufficient demand and overcapacity meet.
Many years of rapid expansion has led to the accumulation of surplus production capacity contradictions, in the context of insufficient demand, the problem is more prominent.Now many industries overcapacity, how to digest the next step, I am afraid, is an "unavoidable" problem.
The second is the uncertainty of product costs.
Since the beginning of this year, the trend of prices of factors of production in enterprises has been quite complicated. The high prices of energy and raw materials have dropped, and it is expected that they will continue to fall, but labor costs will continue to rise.In one rise and one fall, different types of enterprises have different results because of different weights and different influences on enterprises. This is one of the reasons for the possible differentiation of enterprise operation this year.
Third, it is difficult for small and medium-sized enterprises.
Compared with large enterprises, small enterprises have unique advantages, but they also have their own disadvantages.Small and medium-sized enterprises are at a disadvantage in terms of capital occupation and means of production. In the past, they relied on cheap labor to compete with large enterprises. With the increase of labor costs, the impact on small and medium-sized enterprises and labor-intensive enterprises is increasing.
In this regard, Jing Xiaobo suggested that industry enterprises should carefully find their own sensitive factors and actively and effectively deal with them.Find a balance between taking and giving up, find an advantage in comparing with each other, and find new ways to cope with difficult work.
The eight path
Summarizing the main problems existing in China's manufacturing industry at present, Lu Yansun pointed out that a series of problems still exist, such as weak independent innovation ability, low production and management efficiency, unreasonable industrial structure, prominent product quality problems, dual constraints of resources and environment, and unsustainable development.China's manufacturing industry is "big but not strong" and urgently needs to "grow from big to strong".
To realize the transformation from big to strong, it is necessary to realize both scale and efficiency, and put quality first.To achieve innovation-driven development, structural optimization, the integration of manufacturing and information technology, and the integration of manufacturing and services.
At the meeting, Lu Yansun introduced eight ways for China to transform into a powerful equipment manufacturer.
First, we will vigorously promote intelligent manufacturing.
He said that intelligent manufacturing, with its connotation of intelligent products, digitized manufacturing and information-based management, is an important content of in-depth integration of informationization and industrialization, and is the core technology to achieve manufacturing power.
Second, we will improve our capacity for innovative design.
Design is the source of innovation, we should strengthen the construction of new product research and development capacity, and vigorously promote.
Third, we will strengthen the manufacturing base.
For example, accelerate the development and industrialization of new materials and key special materials, and realize the manufacturing of key basic parts and components, and the r&d, promotion and application of advanced manufacturing technologies.
Fourth, we will carry out quality improvement projects.
For example, the top priority of the current electrical industry development is to improve the reliability of products, improve the use value of products in the life cycle, thus cultivating "Chinese brand".
Fifth, we will promote green manufacturing.
In the whole life cycle of products, ecological design, green process materials and precise forming technology should be vigorously promoted.Provide energy-saving and emission-reduction equipment for the process manufacturing industry, and actively promote product remanufacturing.
Sixth, we will develop modern manufacturing services.
It is one of the main directions for the transformation of the manufacturing industry, such as carrying out general project contracting, optimizing supply chain management, financing leasing, value-added services, etc.
Seventh, expand international cooperation and openness.
Enterprises are the mainstay of manufacturing power. We should focus on fostering a number of transnational enterprises with the ability to export products, capital and technologies, make full use of domestic and foreign resources, and speed up the establishment of internationally renowned brands and sales networks.
Eighth, we will strengthen the training of innovative personnel.Create a social environment conducive to the growth of innovative scientific and technological talents, and strengthen the training of skilled personnel.We will encourage institutions of higher learning, enterprises and research institutes to jointly train talents through major national science and technology projects.
In an interview with The Financial Times, the relevant person in charge of the International Equipment Manufacturing Research Center of China Federation of Industry and Commerce said that China's equipment manufacturing industry is facing a test of life and death amid the global economic downturn and worsening competitive environment.The outbreak of the new industrial revolution will spread throughout China soon. With the disappearance of demographic dividend, the way for Chinese enterprises to survive now is transformation. Only transformation can save Chinese enterprises from fire and water, and make China's equipment manufacturing industry truly powerful.
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